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Tuesday, June 25, 2024

A practitioner's perspective: Navigating market volatility, Uncertainty and climate change

 In today's dynamic financial landscape, investors face an array of challenges, including information overload, market volatility, high interest rates, climate change concerns, geopolitical conflicts, and the ever-present risk of scams.


What are some tried and tested steps to help investors protect and grow their portfolios amidst these challenges.  To know more, continue to read below:

In today’s dynamic financial landscape, investors face an array of challenges, including information overload, market volatility, high interest rates, climate change concerns, geopolitical conflicts and the ever-present risk of scams. In the rarer cases, global financial storms, such as the S&P 500 posting double-digit percentage drops in 2002, 2008, and 2022, come and go too.

From the past theme of FOMO (fear of missing out) to FOBO (fear of being obsolete), we are living in an ever-fluid situation where values such as peace of mind, balance and success are highly sought after.

In this article, I will outline and share some tried and tested steps to help investors protect and grow their portfolios amidst these challenges. Please note that this information is for general sharing and does not take into account your specific financial situation and thus, does not serve as a recommendation. Investors should consult their brokers or financial advisors or do their own due diligence before doing any form of investing. With that in mind, let us begin.

As investing is dynamic and the only constant is change, it is important to adopt a long-term investment perspective and be disciplined when embarking on any financial goals such as investing for wealth accumulation, retirement, and wealth preservation etc.

Before one starts to build an investment portfolio, the first step in any financial plan, including an investment plan or wealth accumulation plan, is:

1. Start a Personal Budgeting Framework:

The common 5-3-2 framework (refer to above) helps to address the percentage of gross income one can consider allocating to one’s needs, wants and goals. The 5 refers to 50% of one’s income being allocated to essential needs such as fixed expenses, rent, mortgage and food. The 3 refers to 30% allocated to meeting the individual’s wants, such as entertainment, hobbies, fine dining or personal pursuits. The 2, or 20%, refers to the financial goals one aspires to attain, which include protection needs, wealth accumulation, retirement, or even legacy planning.

By having a clear picture of one’s cash flow, it allows one to invest with confidence despite market volatility. This is because the desired allocation of income has already been set aside for savings or investment purposes to meet financial goals.

Next, consider setting up an emergency fund equivalent to a minimum of 6 months or more of living expenses. This fund should be accessible through liquid savings accounts or a money market fund (MMF) investment account. Alternatively, one can invest in 6-month T-bills if short-term liquidity is not needed. This emergency fund will not only help mitigate short-term, sudden unforeseen events such as retrenchment or large medical bills due to accidents, but also provide peace of mind and avoid disruption to the financial goals of wealth accumulation.


2. Address your protection needs before investing:

Ensure adequate coverage for hospitalisation and surgery, sudden death/accidents, total permanent disability (TPD), and severe disability for long-term care (consider CareShield supplements to boost coverage). Additionally, include personal accident coverage depending on your individual financial situation, health risk, and nature of work.

By working with a trusted advisor, you can leverage their expertise and experience to help customise a comprehensive financial plan tailored to your unique financial needs. By transferring such protection risk to insurers, you can better plan and allocate your financial resources towards desired financial goals such as wealth accumulation, retirement, or legacy planning.


3. Diversify Your Portfolio via Asset Allocation:

Harry Markowitz famously said, “Diversification is the only free lunch in investing”. This means that holding a broader range of assets can result in better returns without assuming more risk. By investing in diverse asset classes, one can reduce unsystematic and concentration risk accordingly.

Asset allocation in other words, is assigning funds to various assets such as stocks, bonds, and alternatives to achieve the strategic exposure required for financial goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. For instance, an investor who invests all their investable capital in US Treasury bonds may unknowingly face geographical, concentration, inflation, reinvestment risk when interest rate changes as their capital is tied to one particular asset.

Hence, instead of allocating 100% of your capital into US treasury bonds, one can consider allocating a certain percentage into other alternatives such as green or ESG investments as an example. These investments consist of companies that focus on sustainable practices, environmentally friendly technologies, and the conservation of natural resources to help reduce the carbon footprint. As they are less correlated to US treasury bonds, the impact on the bonds market is unlikely to spill over to your ESG investments.

By deploying proper asset allocation, one can potentially enhance portfolio returns while reducing unsystematic risk, although market risk will still be present.


4. Start Investing Now:

“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it … he who doesn’t … pays it.” ― Albert Einstein.

Assuming an average return of 7% per annual for a hypothetical asset, let’s compare two investors who stop investing at age 60:

  • Investor A, who started investing at age 30 with an initial deposit of S$1,000 and contributes S$1,200 at the end of each year (Annual Regular Savings plan: RSP) for the next 30 years. By age 60, Investor A will have accumulated S$120,965.20.
  • Investor B, starts investing at age 50 with an initial deposit of S$1,000 and contributes $1,200 at the end of each year for 10 years. By age 60, Investor B will have accumulated onlyS$18,546.89.
Hypothetical Asset ( Average 7% return a year)
Investor profile
Investor A (Start at 30 yrs old)
Investor B (Start at 50 yrs old)
Initial Deposit$1000
Regular deposit every year$1200
Return at 60
S$120,965.20
S$18,546.89


This demonstrates a difference of $102,418.31 due to Investor A starting 20 years earlier and staying invested. The main takeaway is that by investing early, regularly and consistently, it will put one in a favourable financial position later in life.

In my observations, I notice investors often delay or neglect their financial plans for wealth accumulation or retirement as they either chase temporary fads and themes or procrastinate. Instead of engaging in such emotional behaviour, one could consider adopting a disciplined and systematic approach by setting aside a set amount of funds to invest regularly on a monthly basis. This strategy allows for dollar-cost averaging and can help investors grow their portfolio in the long run. If one is unsure of how to start, they should discuss it with a trusted and reputable financial advisor.


5. Time in the Market vs. Timing the Market:

A persistent warning raised by behavioural finance researchers is that investors too often prove to be their own worst enemies. From my personal experience and observation, many investors tend to bail out, liquidate their entire portfolio, or change strategies midway when the market turns volatile. By adopting short-term strategies related to unrealistic performance chasing or market timing, investors often fail to capture all the benefits that markets can provide over the long term.

When in doubt, do not abandon your investment plan when market volatility increases, instead talk to a financial advisor for advice on the best course of action.


6. No man is an Island: Seek Professional Advice from a Financial Advisor:

Each person may possess different skills, backgrounds, and experiences that may not be related to the financial industry. Therefore, it is advisable to seek help early, as the journey of analysing the market, and constructing an effective investment portfolio can be challenging and time-consuming, if not demanding, for many investors. From curating solutions to custom-fit financial goals to implementation, monitoring and making adjustments for certain market conditions, it is a taxing and daunting task for non-practitioners or working parents whose time is stretched between work, family and rest.

The psychological stress of handling a multi-million-dollar investment portfolio on your own versus a small one-thousand-dollar investment portfolio is vastly different, if not mind-boggling, for many. This is where the rubber meets the road. An experienced advisor can not only help you map out your financial goals but also mitigate detrimental behavioural biases such as overconfidence, loss aversion, anchoring biases, or other nuances an investor may unknowingly have.


Conclusion:

Navigating today’s complex financial landscape first requires one to have a holistic financial plan that addresses short, medium and long-term needs. This plan should cover areas such as protection, liquidity and wealth accumulation goals, all tailored to one’s financial situation, time horizon and risk appetite.

Secondly, one would also need to craft a resilient investment strategy that can weather these financial storms, which requires a long term, committed and disciplined approach. These two steps, when done alone can be quite challenging.

Hence, leveraging the help of a trusted financial advisor who shares your values is essential for building a resilient and adaptive investment strategy that stands the test of time. If you resonate with values such as peace of mind, balance and success, feel free to reach out to me @ https://bit.ly/TTPericoh/




Author:
Eric Oh
Financial Services Manager, Phillip Securities Pte Ltd
https://bit.ly/TTPericoh


About the author

Eric Oh
Financial Services Manager

Eric Oh is a Senior Broker and Financial Services Manager at Phillip Securities. He began investing in 2001 and launched his professional career as a Proprietary Trader with Phillip Securities, managing multi-million-dollar portfolios. In his role, he not only advises clients on managing their wealth, but also implements strategies for wealth accumulation, protection, and retirement planning. Many of his clients have traded with him for over a decade, entrusting substantial sums of money to his management. Eric enjoys working with committed professionals to build lasting, empowering, and beneficial relationships.


Source published: bit.ly/EricInsights

Friday, May 3, 2024

3 May 2024 FM 96.3 radio: Eric's Market insights and updates


Click here to listen on Facebook. 

大家好,我是辉立证券金融服务经理,胡利辉, Eric Oh.

我们先说美国市场. 2024 5 1 日,美联储承认通胀仍处于高位,并且预计不会降低当前目标范围(5.25-5.5%),直到对通胀可持续向 2% 迈进更有信心为止。因此,在新数据公布之前,标普500指数可能会在4800点找到支撑。

受中东冲突影响,WTI 油价在 2024 4 12 日也曾触及 87.6 美元的高点,但此后呈下降趋势,跌至 80 美元以下。

本地市场消息方面,星展银行周四公布第一季度业绩,整体增长超出预期,并表示预计净利润将超过去年创纪录的业绩。

大华银行和华侨银行将于下周公布财报。在我看来, 海峡时报指数将从当前水平上升,但会出现一些波动。投资者在投资前应评估自己的风险能力和投资期限,或寻求财务顾问的建议。

如果听众朋友有什么疑问或需要专业投资服务来帮助您确定股市走向和投资,可以联络我,手机号码 90685256或通过我的Facebook Ericwealthadvisory 与我联系 .

谢谢。


Hi Everyone, I m Eric Oh, Financial Services Manager from Phillip Securities.

On 1 May 2024, the US central bank acknowledged that inflation is still high and does not expect to reduce the current target range (5.25-5.5%) until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%. Due to this, S&P500 will likely find support at 4800 level until new data is released.

WTI also touched a high of $87.6 on April 12, 2024 due to the Middle East conflict, but has been on a downward trend since then, falling below $80.

For the local market news, DBS reported on Thursday first-quarter results that trumped expectations with broad-based growth and said it expects net profit to exceed last year's record result.

UOB and OCBC will report earnings next week. In my view, I expect STI to move up from current levels with some volatility. Investors should assess their risk appetite and time horizon or seek advice from a financial advisor before investing as markets will likely remain volatile through the year.

If you have any enquiries or wish to seek professional advice with regards to stock market and investment, kindly contact me at my Facebook Ericwealthadvisory or refer to my social media sites.

If you are my client already, do check your email or whatsapp for update and review or follow my social media presence for market updates.

Thank you and have a great day.

Our Social Media Presence

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Friday, March 22, 2024

22 March 2024 Radio FM 96.3: Eric's Market insights and updates



Click here to listen on Facebook.

English translation

Hi Everyone, I m Eric Oh, Financial Services Manager from Phillip Securities.

On Wednesday, we see regional stocks rally after the FED signal it will maintain its stance of 3 interest rate cut this year which is aligned with market expectations.

Powell said the timing of those reductions still depends on officials becoming more secure that inflation will continue to decline towards the Fed's 2% target even as the economy continues to outperform expectations.

The Fed also left interest rates unchanged and released new quarterly economic projections that showed officials now expect the economy to grow 2.1% this year, above what's considered the U.S. economy's long-run potential and a substantial upgrade from the 1.4% growth seen as of December. 

Concurrently, the unemployment rate is only expected to hit 4% by the end of 2024, barely changed from the current 3.9% level.

Another important news this week is when Japan's central bank has raised the cost of borrowing for the first time in 17 years. The Bank of the Japan (BOJ) increased its key interest rate from -0.1% to a range of 0%-0.1%. 

Risk asset may continue to see upside potential but may not be suitable for speculation in the short term as volatility may increase due to sudden, unexpected geopolitics, conflicts or negative news. 

If you have any enquiries or wish to seek professional advice with regards to stock market and investment, kindly contact me at my Facebook Ericwealthadvisory or refer to my social media sites.

If you are my client already, do check your email or whatsapp for market update and review or follow my social media presence for market updates. Thank you and have a great day.

Our Social Media Presence

Blog: https://lnkd.in/eg5msiXY

Website: https://bit.ly/EricWA

Linkedin: https://bit.ly/Lericoh

Youtube: https://bit.ly/YTericoh

Facebook: https://bit.ly/FBericoh

Company URL: https://bit.ly/TTPericoh

Instagram: https://bit.ly/Iericoh

Investingnote: https://bit.ly/ericinvestnote

Make an appointment: https://bit.ly/contactEric

Click to listen to FM96.3 radio Version: https://lnkd.in/gdRNGZRg